Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.224538 0.244640 0.266056 0.290625 0.318100 0.347956 0.382958
2026-01-18 0.186936 0.214734 0.246389 0.285346 0.332326 0.387571 0.458070
2026-01-25 0.161232 0.192077 0.228871 0.276477 0.337150 0.412861 0.516038
2026-02-01 0.144111 0.176609 0.216811 0.270950 0.343122 0.437733 0.574084
2026-02-08 0.130212 0.163273 0.205403 0.264048 0.345233 0.456243 0.624228
2026-02-15 0.119650 0.153030 0.196679 0.259235 0.348804 0.476047 0.677472
2026-02-22 0.113739 0.148277 0.194587 0.262882 0.364002 0.513299 0.760826
2026-03-01 0.106930 0.141675 0.189266 0.261200 0.370860 0.538365 0.827854
2026-03-08 0.100330 0.134831 0.182986 0.257382 0.373809 0.557238 0.886645
2026-03-15 0.093813 0.127642 0.175640 0.251238 0.372337 0.568505 0.933328
2026-03-22 0.091578 0.126430 0.176850 0.258114 0.391997 0.616352 1.052054
2026-03-29 0.089020 0.124544 0.176859 0.262989 0.408661 0.660715 1.170988
2026-04-05 0.085427 0.121010 0.174296 0.263808 0.419035 0.696061 1.280235
2026-04-12 0.080488 0.115176 0.167837 0.257782 0.417045 0.708766 1.345723
2026-04-19 0.075529 0.109040 0.160527 0.249760 0.410708 0.712456 1.392409
2026-04-26 0.071654 0.104383 0.155291 0.244859 0.409536 0.725888 1.462973
2026-05-03 0.067841 0.099628 0.149618 0.238770 0.405553 0.733167 1.520458
2026-05-10 0.064683 0.095762 0.145179 0.234525 0.404648 0.746538 1.594921
2026-05-17 0.063181 0.094481 0.144939 0.237741 0.418425 0.792245 1.759075
2026-05-24 0.060913 0.091834 0.142240 0.236258 0.422702 0.817896 1.876417
2026-05-31 0.058461 0.088768 0.138663 0.232890 0.422828 0.834274 1.971955
2026-06-07 0.055813 0.085263 0.134153 0.227467 0.418224 0.839286 2.036429
2026-06-14 0.055244 0.085213 0.135638 0.233536 0.438269 0.904292 2.291864